Issue #69·

Merck just wrote a $1B check to Google. The reason is wild.

Merck is betting a billion dollars that Google's AI can fix drug discovery, and it's the largest operational AI rollout pharma has ever seen. Meanwhile, a billion-dollar oncology alliance is crumbling, and one biotech is ghosting Wall Street entirely.

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Merck Bets $1 Billion That Google Can Make Drug Discovery Suck Less

Merck just committed up to $1 billion over a decade to deploy Google's agentic AI across its entire 75,000-person organization. This isn't a pilot program; it's the largest operational AI rollout in pharma history. The goal: compress drug development timelines that currently stretch 10 to 15 years and cost billions per approved drug. Google Cloud engineers will embed directly alongside Merck teams across R&D, manufacturing, sales, and corporate ops. The deal lands amid a full-blown pharma AI arms race, with Eli Lilly committing $2.75 billion to Insilico Medicine just months earlier.

Why it matters: Drug development has been getting slower and more expensive for decades (a grim trend researchers call Eroom's Law). This deal, alongside similar billion-dollar commitments from Lilly and others, signals that big pharma is no longer dabbling with AI. It's going all in, and the results will shape medicine for the next decade.

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Deals and M&A

Gilead Folds a Billion-Dollar Hand in Oncology

After investing billions across a ten-year alliance, Gilead is quietly unwinding its oncology partnership with Arcus Biosciences. Two major lung cancer trials were scrapped in April when a futility analysis showed their TIGIT combo couldn't beat Merck's Keytruda. But Gilead isn't retreating from cancer: it just closed a $7.8 billion Arcellx acquisition and bought Tubulis for $3.15 billion upfront (plus up to $1.85 billion in milestone payments), pivoting hard toward cell therapy and antibody-drug conjugates.

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Esperion Ditches Nasdaq After a 97% Stock Collapse

PE firm ARCHIMED is taking Esperion private at $3.16 per share (a 58% premium), valuing the company at up to $1.1 billion. The twist: Esperion's cholesterol drugs are posting strong revenue growth, but a decade-long stock collapse from $100 to under $3 made public life untenable. Shareholders also get contingent payouts tied to sales milestones extending through 2030, part of a growing trend of small biotechs fleeing public markets for patient private capital.

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